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The US has dominated global equity returns for approximately 15 years. This is a cycle – it is all cycles! And that cycle is over. It turns out that Francis Fukuyama’s “End of History” wasn’t quite accurate. We live in a multipolar world. Amid complexity and ambiguity, investors will have to work harder to make money than just owning US beta. The silver lining is that there are large equity markets and sectors including China and Japan that are cheap, with significant growth drivers.

All the indicia of a colossal equities bubble are in place. But there is a lot to own for the next five years if you are prepared to go where the crowd is thinnest, allowing you to be on offense as you defend your clients' portfolios.

Julian McCormack | 0.50 CE

Those who cling to yesterday’s narrative may forego one of the great trades of recent decades as the world shifts to a "global reopening" narrative and away from one of "secular stagnation".

Julian McCormack | 0.50 CE

Practitioners should examine portfolios for slow or no growth equities, priced like bonds, whose attractions may be inundated by a wave of fiscal stimulus.

Julian McCormack | 0.25 CE

China is frequently presented as a source of crisis or instability for the global economy. However, the picture is one of imperfection, not peril.

Nearly a decade after one of the great debt binges of all time, Chinese economic growth and credit creation have slowed. Today, stimulus is being undertaken. This is not a crisis, this is reform.

Julian McCormack | 0.25 CE