I've been thinking about... the economy in
the new reality
Category
Markets
Summary
Our opening keynote session at the 2009
PortfolioConstruction Conference debated the likely shape of the
global economic recovery, and the implications for
markets and portfolios. Would the recovery be
V-shaped - a rapid rebound in economy and markets,
as many were hoping? Or L-shaped with the economy
struggling sideways for years? Or, perhaps, a W,
bringing a double-dip downturn as government
stimulus fades? U-shaped, a longer than usual
downturn, followed by an eventual return to
prosperity? Or the more exotic square root- shaped
recovery, giving us a quick rebound later followed
by flat growth in the longer term?