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						Lifecycle Investing  | 
							
						
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		research & opinion about lifecycle 
		investing issues 
						
		  
						
						This is a special interest subsection of our wider 
						Perspectives library in which we present research and 
						opinion about lifecycle investing issues. Lifecycle 
						investing is based on a philosophy of consciously 
						constructing portfolios so that, over the whole of a 
						person’s life, acceptable standards of living and 
						specific life goals are more likely to be achieved 
						consistently - with all the complexity and tailoring 
						that entails.   | 
							
						
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		The best approach to adjustable retirement withdrawals 
		
		The classic 4% rule holds withdrawals at 4% 
		of the initial value of the portfolio at retirement. A great deal of 
		recent research has focused on strategies that adjust withdrawals 
		depending on investment experience. 
		Joe Tomlinson, 
		Tomlinson Financial Planning
		
		 | 08-07-15 | 
		
		
		
		White Paper  | 
							
						
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		Big raises and lifestyle creep 
		
		The surprising result of a recent study is 
		that the "conventional" view that earnings rise steadily (above 
		inflation) throughout our careers is not accurate. Good spending habits 
		established early on can make an astounding difference to wealth over a 
		lifetime. 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
		
		 | 29-05-15 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		How should retirees manage risk in a DC world? 
		
		This paper offers a surprising amount of information and 
		interesting ways of framing investment issues in retirement, along with 
		analysis of longevity vs investment risk and the implications. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction 
		Forum
		
		 | 10-03-15 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Risk transfer vs risk retention 
		
		The real distinction in retirement income philosophies and 
		strategies is not about which are “safe” and which not. It is whether 
		risk is transferred or retained (and if retained, how it is managed). 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
		
		 | 20-01-15 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		The Yin and Yang of retirement income philosophies 
		
		This excellent white paper is a retirement income planning 
		"buffet" - first reviewing the two main opposing philosophies, and then 
		the range of strategies that span the divide. 
		Angela Ashton, 
		PortfolioConstruction Forum
		
		 | 21-11-14 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Managing sequencing risk - buckets v rebalancing 
		
		The staple of retirement planning - save a percentage of income - makes 
		it surprisingly difficult to ever reach retirement. The alternative is 
		much easier and more successful. 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
		
		 | 13-11-14 | 
		
		
		
		Research paper  | 
							
						
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		Bill Sharpe on retirement income planning 
		
		One of the originators of CAPM, Sharpe (along with Markowitz and Miller) 
		was awarded the 1990 Nobel Prize in economics. I sat down with him to 
		discuss retirement income planning. 
		Robert Huebscher, Advisor Perspectives
		
		 | 28-10-14 | 
		
		
		
		Interview  | 
							
						
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		Phrases that should be banished from retirement planning 
		
		The words we use and how we frame concepts have a powerful impact. 
		Perhaps the most crucial change in our retirement planning language is 
		simply to rename "retirement". 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
		
		 | 27-10-14 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Down the retirement risk zone with gun and camera 
		
		This particularly relevant review of literature on sequencing risk 
		considers the impact of Australia's age pension on retirement spending 
		strategies. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum
		
		 | 15-10-14 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Retirement risk, rising equity glidepaths & valuation-based AA 
		
		The dynamic duo (Kitces and Pfau) are back in their search for the 
		ultimate truth about retirement income planning and how to structure 
		portfolios to minimise drawdowns. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum
		
		 | 03-10-14 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		The crisis in retirement planning 
		
		Robert Merton, 1997 Nobel Prize winner, has recently penned an article 
		about his views on retirement planning. There are some interesting take 
		aways for Australian practitioners. 
		 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum
		
		 | 03-09-14 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Behavioural finance vs standard finance 
		
		This paper is a great introduction to why behavioural finance is quickly 
		becoming recognised as a field that can add real value to the wealth 
		management industry. 
		 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum
		
		 | 26-07-14 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Investing in communicating about investing 
		
		As investment professionals, we live investing every day. We spend 
		excessive time reporting and not enough 'rapporting.' 
		 
		Prof Jack Gray, UTS 
		 | 21-07-14 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Changes in retirement and the retirement spending smile 
		
		Most research assumes retirees maintain a consistent standard of 
		living. A new study disproves this, implying we may be overestimating 
		funds needed to retire by up to 20%. 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
		
		 | 26-05-14 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Don't save 10% of income (spend just 50% of every raise) 
		
		The staple of retirement planning - save a percentage of income - makes 
		it surprisingly difficult to ever reach retirement. The alternative is 
		much easier and more successful. 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
		
		 | 20-06-14 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Home price beliefs in Australia 
		
		Are we any good at estimating the values of our homes? Surprisingly, on 
		average we are, according to a RBA study. It also found a link to 
		weightings of risky assets in portfolios. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum
		
		 | 06-05-14 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Longevity risk aversion and optimal safe withdrawal rates 
		
		Over recent months, we've highlighted one school of research on funding 
		retirement income, being the sustainable withdrawal rate approach. This 
		paper takes a very different approach. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum
		
		 | 07-05-14 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Investing for retirement: the defined contribution challenge  
		
		Target date funds are becoming the workhorse for DC plans but there are 
		problems with the approach. This paper offers a portfolio construction 
		framework to overcome them. 
		Ben Inker & Martin Tarlie, GMO
		
		 | 08-04-14 | 
		
		
		
		White paper  | 
							
						
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		Age banding - a model for planning retirement income needs 
		
		Over recent months, we've highlighted one school of research on funding 
		retirement income, being the sustainable withdrawal rate approach. This 
		paper takes a very different approach. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum
		
		 | 04-04-14 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Monitoring the success of target date funds 
		
		As the logic goes, retired clients deplete their portfolios, and more 
		pass away as the years go by, so a firm with aging clients is akin to a 
		rapidly depreciating asset. But is this true? 
		 
		Sean Henaghan, AMP Capital Investors
		
		 | 24-03-14 | 
		
		
		
		White paper  | 
							
						
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		Is the danger of an aging client base overstated? 
		
		As the logic goes, retired clients deplete their portfolios, and more 
		pass away as the years go by, so a firm with aging clients is akin to a 
		rapidly depreciating asset. But is this true?  
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
		
		
		 | 18-03-14 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Safe withdrawal rates in retirement - an Australian perspective 
		
		A new research paper looks specifically at withdrawal rates in the 
		Australian context, confirming the legislated minimums for account-based 
		pensions are much too high. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum
		
		 | 12-02-14 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Determining withdrawal rates using historical data 
		
		William Bengen established the 4% rule - and showed a higher exposure to 
		equities was better for retirement portfolios. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum
		
		 | 06-02-14 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Inflation, uncertainty and portfolio management 
		
		Will QE ruin retirement? Looking back at the risks inflation has 
		presented in the past helps us look forward to the potential 
		consequences. 
		Dr Susan Gosling, MLC 
		 | 01-01-14 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Retirement monies - what to consider? What to do. 
		
		Baby boomer retirees need an investment approach that delivers both the 
		income they need and maintains the flexibility to meet their other 
		objectives too. 
		Aaron Minney, Challenger
		
		 | 29-11-13 | 
		
		
		
		Resources  | 
							
						
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		Improving target-date funds 
		
		Target-date funds are one of the fastest-growing segments of the funds 
		industry. However, most have two shortcomings that can be improved. 
		AQR Capital Management 
		 | 14-11-13 | 
		
		
		
		White Paper  | 
							
						
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		Managing 3 shock risks for the next decade 
		
		Three key shock risks will affect investors over the next decade, 
		requiring a real difference in how we construct portfolios for 
		retirement. 
		Nick Bullman, CheckRisk
		
		 | 30-10-13 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Should equity exposure really decrease in retirement? 
		
		The conventional wisdom is that retirees should reduce their equity 
		exposure throughout retirement as their time horizon shortens - in 
		reality, the ideal may actually be the exact opposite. 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group
		
		 | 07-10-13 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Investing in a debt-fuelled world 
		
		Deleveraging will leave a lasting impact - and meeting the challenges it 
		presents investors will be critical to everyone operating in the new 
		financial landscape. 
		Prof Amin Rajan, Create Research
		
		 | 24-08-13 | 
		
		
		
		White paper  | 
							
						
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		Does lending to debtors make sense for bond investors? 
		
		Net foreign assets, a measure of a country’s net wealth, can reliably 
		predict future defaults - allocating to countries with net wealth rather 
		than net debt leads to superior returns. 
		Andy Seaman, Stratton Street Capital
		
		 | 22-08-13 | 
		
		
		
		Resources  | 
							
						
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		A multi-speed world 
		
		Recorded exclusively for PortfolioConstruction Forum PIMCO's CEO, 
		Mohammed El-Erian, discusses the outlook for QE, whether Australia can 
		continue to escape the new normal - and what it means for portfolios. 
		Mohammed El-Erian, PIMCO 
		
		 | 21-08-13 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Lifecycle investing - the Australian context 
		
		Recorded exclusively for PortfolioConstruction Forum, Prof. Jack Gray 
		explains why lifecycle investing concepts needs adaptation for the 
		Australian context. 
		Prof Jack Gray, UTS | 21-08-13 | 
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Managing the money-weighted return problem 
		
		Recorded exclusively for PortfolioConstruction Forum, Alan Brown argues 
		that what really matters to people is money-weighted rates of return.  
		Alan Brown, Schroders | 21-08-13 | 
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Rethinking investing for income vs wealth 
		
		Recorded exclusively for PortfolioConstruction Forum, Nobel Laureate 
		Robert Merton discusses moving to an income goal for the retirement 
		phase of an investor's lifecycle.
		 
		Prof. Robert Merton, Dimensional Fund Advisors | 02-08-13 | 
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Financial planning: a look from the outside in 
		
		Regardless of whether lifecycle investing is for you and your clients, 
		there are valuable lessons in this paper by a financial adviser who has 
		embraced the approach. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 05-08-13 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Why frequent portfolio tinkering won't pay off 
		
		Frequent adjustment of portfolios is counterproductive even if costs are 
		cheap, according to a study on the period of "optimal inattention".
		 
		Dr Andrew Abel, Wharton University | 02-08-13 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Superannuation’s contribution to Australia’s economic future 
		
		Australia faces big economic challenges - meaning superannuation will 
		inevitably feel pressure for reform which will encompass four key 
		changes. 
		John Daley, Grattan Institute | 02-08-13 | 
		
		
		
		White Paper  | 
							
						
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		Is the 4% rule folly? 
		
		Defining the 
		failure of a retirement investment strategy as the chance of running out 
		of money in retirement leads us to try to minimise this risk. But is 
		that the right approach? 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 30-07-13 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Risky business 
		
		According to a recent survey, 37% of retirees cannot tolerate any 
		portfolio losses in any one year. Even conservative portfolios would 
		have failed that test over the past 25 years. 
		DFS Portfolio Solutions | 26-07-13 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		The retirement risk zone 
		This paper is a valuable addition to 
		research on safe withdrawal rates for retirement portfolios. It confirms 
		the 4% safe withdrawal rate may not be so safe for today's conditions. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 23-07-13 | 
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Asset valuations & safe 
		portfolio withdrawal rates 
		This paper is a valuable addition to research on safe withdrawal 
		rates for retirement portfolios. It confirms the 4% safe withdrawal rate 
		may not be so safe for today's conditions. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 15-07-13 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Retirement withdrawals - the 
		historic return dilemma 
		The findings of this paper suggest that legislated minimum pension 
		withdrawal rates may be too high and lead retirees to run out of money 
		sooner than planned. 
		Angela Ashton, PortfolioConstruction Forum | 11-07-13 | 
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Longevity in the age of Twitter 
		In this talk Larry Fink paints an interesting picture of the trends, 
		challenges and issues resulting from retirement funding, and the impact 
		on the global economy in future. 
		Larry Fink, BlackRock | 08-07-13 | 
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Issues Paper: Lifecycle 
		investing 
		Lifecycle investing considers the whole of a person's life to ensure 
		acceptable standards of living are achieved consistently. It differs 
		from more traditional approaches to financial planning in a number of 
		important ways. 
		PortfolioConstruction Forum | 03-07-13 | 
		
		
		
		Research  | 
							
						
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		Understanding retirement 
		sequencing risk 
		What really does, and does not, cause a retirement plan to run out 
		of money? The true danger for many is not a market crash or black swan 
		event. 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group | 22-05-13 | 
		
		
		
		Resources  | 
							
						
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		Meeting the longevity challenge 
		Misjudging longevity can have a very detrimental impact quality of 
		retirement. A strategic approach is needed to better manage longevity 
		implications for portfolios. 
		David Williams, MyLongevity | 22-05-13 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Money’s worth - are annuities 
		good value for money? 
		Many clients 
		who buy home or car insurance accept they may never receive any monetary 
		benefit. Annuities offer clients more value per dollar spent than common 
		general insurance products. 
		Challenger Retirement Income Research | 24-05-13 | 
		
		
		
		White Paper  | 
							
						
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		An introduction to lifecycle 
		theory 
		The essence of lifecycle theory is that portfolio outcomes 
		should contribute to the attainment of an individual's goals and desires 
		in life. 
		David Bell, St Davids Rd Advisory | 10-05-13 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Mortality risk could be the 
		death of you 
		It is unfortunate that most people spend much more time considering 
		and modeling investment risk than mortality risk. 
		David Bell, St Davids Rd Advisory | 12-04-13 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Safe withdrawal rates in a low 
		yield environment 
		
		Just because 
		starting conditions are suboptimal does not guarantee that safe 
		withdrawal rates will fail today's retirees. 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory Group | 15-03-13 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		The future of super 
		
		Does retirement income public policy and the design of the super 
		system need to move into a new direction? 
		The Hon Paul Keating | 07-12-12 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		How long will people live? 
		
		Misjudging longevity can dramatically impact quality of 
		retirement - and the average retirement may be up to five years longer 
		than many expect. 
		Challenger Retirement Income Research | 14-11-12 | 
		
		
		
		White Paper  | 
							
						
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		Boomers, herding, denial and zeitgeist 
		
		The current financial advice model serving retirees is suboptimal 
		for their needs. This paper challenges some commonly-used approaches to 
		managing retiree portfolios. 
		Lukasz de Pourbaix, Lonsec & Wade Matterson, Milliman | 31-10-12 | 
		
		
		
		White Paper  | 
							
						
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		The ABC of sequencing risk 
		
		Volatility is a risk for any 
		portfolio that has cash flows, irrespective of investment time horizon. 
		The culprit is sequencing risk, the risk of returns occurring in an 
		adverse order. 
		Challenger Retirement Income Research | 24-10-12 | 
		
		
		
		White Paper  | 
							
						
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		Undiscovered Fund: Australian RMBS income 
		
		A unique fund in the Australian 
		market for those seeking solid income yields in excess of traditional 
		yield-focused funds... 
		Zenith Investment Partners | 28-09-12 | 
		
		
		
		Research Report  | 
							
						
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		Is saving a percentage of income bad 
		advice? 
		"Save a healthy portion of your income every year from the start 
		of your working years" is standard retirement planning 
		advice. But a better path may not be to save a 
		flat percentage of income every year... 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory | 11-09-12 | 
		
		
		
		White Paper  | 
							
						
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		Advice tips for older clients 
		
		The client base of many 
		financial advisers is aging - and older clients present many challenges. 
		Advisers need to adapt their advice delivery to create a user-friendly 
		experience for older clients... 
		David Greenslade, Strategi | 04-09-12 | 
		
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		EM bonds - retirement income of 
		the future? 
		
		The process of reallocation to EM bonds is likely to accelerate, 
		creating more liquidity and stability, and adding to their 
		attractiveness for retirement income needs... 
		Featuring Ramin Toloui, PIMCO | 22-08-12 | 
		
		
		
		Resources  | 
							
						
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		Undiscovered Fund: Australian equity income 
		
		A simple, high conviction 
		Australian equity income fund ideally suited to income-seeking investors 
		with a focus on after tax returns... 
		Zenith Investment Partners | 06-07-12 | 
		
		
		
		Research Report  | 
							
						
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		How do 
		you estimate your client's life expectancy? 
		
		Many advisers set every client's 
		life expectancy to a conservative 95 or 100. But the majority of clients 
		will never live this long - and being so 
		conservative can greatly impinge on their enjoyment of retirement. 
		Michael Kitces, Pinnacle Advisory | 07-05-12 | 
		
		
		Opinion  | 
							
						
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		Spending flexibility and safe withdrawal rates 
		
		How do we take into account the 
		trade-off between clients' willingness to risk running out of money in 
		return for enjoying their retirement portfolio now? 
		Bob Veres, Inside Information | 24-04-12 | 
		
		
		
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